In a challenging season in 2007/08 Derby County finished at the bottom of the Premier League table with a disappointing total of 11 points. To this day, this stands as the lowest points tally ever recorded in the history of the competition.
Currently, Sheffield United occupies the last position in the Premier League standings, having only accumulated one point so far. Despite their best efforts, the Blades have yet to secure their first victory, and their recent match against Arsenal resulted in a crushing 5-0 defeat.
The question on everyone’s mind is whether Sheffield United will surpass Derby’s infamous points record. Bettingexpert’s supercomputer recently ran a simulation of the Premier League season a remarkable 100,000 times, factoring in previous results to make a prediction. Fans can take some comfort in the supercomputer’s projection, as it suggests that Sheffield United is unlikely to perform worse than the Rams did.
The simulation assigns a 51.85% probability to Sheffield United reaching or exceeding the 20-point mark, which would place Paul Heckingbottom’s team comfortably ahead of Derby’s total, even if it might not be sufficient to avoid relegation. Nevertheless the supercomputer predicts the Blades to finish rock bottom, six points behind 19th-placed Luton Town and ten behind Burnley in 18th.
The likelihood of Sheffield United accumulating only 11 points is a mere 2.05%, and this probability decreases further for each point below 11.